A clothing company keeps its complete product sales history in Amazon S3 and currently uses custom exponential smoothing (ETS) models to forecast demand for existing products. The company needs a method to forecast demand for a new product variation that hasn't sold before. Which approach best meets this requirement?
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Correct answer: Train an Amazon SageMaker DeepAR time-series forecasting model..
Why this is the answer
DeepAR is ideal for forecasting new products because it can leverage data from similar existing products to make predictions, a technique known as "cold start" forecasting. It learns patterns across many related time series, which is crucial when a new product lacks historical sales data. Training another custom ETS model is unsuitable as ETS models require historical data for the specific product being forecasted. K-means clustering is for grouping similar data points, not for time-series forecasting. XGBoost is a powerful supervised learning algorithm, but it's not inherently designed for time-series forecasting, especially for cold-start scenarios where DeepAR excels by learning from a collection of series.
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